Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.083367 0.089500 0.095899 0.103082 0.110930 0.119256 0.128772
2025-11-23 0.071384 0.080300 0.090146 0.101867 0.115496 0.130910 0.149756
2025-11-30 0.064428 0.075183 0.087605 0.103113 0.122095 0.144747 0.174096
2025-12-07 0.057296 0.068787 0.082532 0.100351 0.123079 0.151422 0.189960
2025-12-14 0.051003 0.062644 0.076970 0.096122 0.121398 0.154107 0.200452
2025-12-21 0.046991 0.058905 0.073945 0.094622 0.122780 0.160491 0.216040
2025-12-28 0.044748 0.057184 0.073269 0.095983 0.127870 0.172036 0.239655
2026-01-04 0.042609 0.055395 0.072296 0.096749 0.132043 0.182471 0.262518
2026-01-11 0.040197 0.053047 0.070356 0.095938 0.133784 0.189385 0.280582
2026-01-18 0.038217 0.051144 0.068868 0.095599 0.136083 0.197173 0.300620
2026-01-25 0.036030 0.048808 0.066603 0.093921 0.136167 0.201461 0.315260
2026-02-01 0.033824 0.046316 0.063954 0.091466 0.134815 0.203284 0.325803
2026-02-08 0.031971 0.044277 0.061905 0.089866 0.134808 0.207465 0.341236
2026-02-15 0.030269 0.042376 0.059962 0.088312 0.134771 0.211609 0.357127
2026-02-22 0.029339 0.041562 0.059591 0.089179 0.138718 0.222768 0.387101
2026-03-01 0.027677 0.039562 0.057297 0.086803 0.137032 0.223959 0.398226
2026-03-08 0.025855 0.037235 0.054381 0.083236 0.133044 0.220698 0.400207
2026-03-15 0.024700 0.035880 0.052916 0.081970 0.132946 0.224444 0.416629
2026-03-22 0.024164 0.035459 0.052897 0.083110 0.137157 0.236483 0.451587
2026-03-29 0.023554 0.034888 0.052604 0.083752 0.140493 0.247123 0.484894
2026-04-05 0.022708 0.033904 0.051588 0.083071 0.141329 0.252944 0.508269
2026-04-12 0.021994 0.033100 0.050826 0.082786 0.142868 0.260267 0.535959
2026-04-19 0.021105 0.031976 0.049479 0.081378 0.142156 0.262931 0.553044